10 Ten Things You May Not Know About Hood River Oregon

January 31st, 2008

In years past, resort towns like this on the Columbia River Gorge, in the shadow of Mount Hood, were seen primarily as places to go to play outside for a vacation or a weekend. Flocks of tourists would escape to the Columbia Gorge for the skiing, windsurfing, hiking or bicycling, and then high-tail it back to their full-time homes in the cities or the suburbs.

But with the advent of telecommuting, the growing appeal of small town rural America after the metro-area attacks of Sept. 11, 2001 and the increasing attraction of healthy living and natural resource amenities in the outlying areas, that trend is changing. More and more, as priorities shift, Hood River Oregon and towns like it are becoming popular hometown or second-home destinations.

In August 2007, the New York Times noted a new tribe living in the bucolic mountain town of Steamboat Springs, Colorado. As technology enables people to live and work wherever they want, increasingly, they are clustering in resort playgrounds like Steamboat Springs (pop. 9,315), that have natural amenities, good weather and, now, lots of people like themselves, wrote the Times John Leland.

Hood River, with a population of 6,580, is experiencing a similar influx with an added draw of people who appreciate its focus on green living and preserving natural resources. Yes, windsurfers, skiers, bikers and hikers are still coming — in droves. But along with those are many families and individuals drawn to a friendly, small-town atmosphere where agriculture is supported and community resources are treasured.

Here are 10 things about the area that might surprise you:

1. Sustainability

As Hood River County Commissioner and Copper West Properties, Hood River Real Estate broker, Maui Meyer notes, athletes were not the only people moving into the area when he began building his network of two restaurants, a farming cooperative and two real estate businesses in the early 1990s.

The long term success of a town like Hood River is based almost entirely upon the success of our regions agriculture, he wrote in a Copper West blog entry in November 2007. Not entirely for its output, but rather, its ethos. Meyer, a former world-class windsurfer and a writer for American Windsurfer magazine, started in 1991 by co-founding The Sixth Street Bistro, which was Green Smart certified in 1998. In addition to recycling food-scraps, serving meals that feature local produce and re-using cooking oil for automobile fuel, Sixth Street has led to the support and founding of six family farms.

A second sustainability move was Meyers’ founding of Oregon Growers and Shippers, which draws products from area farms, packages them and ships them across the nation. More recently, Meyer and others opened Celilo restaurant, named for a Native American fishing village that used to be on the Columbia River banks nearby. The restaurant, which concentrates on using local produce and responsible resource production, is housed in the Yasui building, Hood River’s first LEED-compliant building and one of the first major investments in the Hood River downtown in 30 years. LEED stands for Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design, a green-building rating system. It is based on such items as the use of reclaimed building materials like salvaged timber. This once-pastoral farming and logging community now has a half-dozen or so fine restaurants, mostly because some of the food-conscious athletes, attracted by the quality of life, decided to make it their home, wrote Susan Hauser of the New York Times, in November 2002.

2. Mega outdoor recreation

When you go to see a lawyer in Hood River, don’t be surprised if, after you’ve gotten advice on hood river real estate investments or a will, that the talk turns to wind velocity, river currents or the best deals on sails for surfboards. Many professionals have moved into town just to be near what is known, without exaggeration, as the windsurfing capital of the world.

On a clear summer day when the air is moving at a clip, the Columbia River is a sea of brightly colored sails navigated by wetsuit-clad windsurfers traveling back and forth from the Oregon to the Washington river banks. In January or February, look for skis, boots and poles stacked in the closet at many Hood River offices and workplaces. With 11,239-foot-elevation Mount Hood and its numerous resorts just minutes away, a good snow day may be cause for automatic personal leave time en masse.

Any other time, check the road and mountain biking trails along the Historic Columbia River Highway or on the Fruit Loop through pear and apple orchards. Or go hiking along Eagle Creek, where the Punchbowl Falls are legendary.

According to Outside Magazine’s April 2006 issue, Hood River is one of the nations 100 Adrenaline Hot Spots, and rates the name, Adventure Mecca Ultimate Cascades. Not to be outdone, Men’s Journal Magazine in their April 2006 issue said Hood River was among the Best Places to Live: The 50 Healthiest, Sexiest, Most Adventurous Towns, due, it said, to the towns status as a Multisport hub with something for everyone. And, to be more specific, Skiing Magazine in 2005 ranked Hood River #5 in its Top 10 Ski Towns. That was right behind Jackson Hole, Wyo., Steamboat Springs, Co., Vail, Co. and Bozeman, Mt.

3. Amazing scenery

If you drive east along Highway 84 from Portland out the Columbia River gorge about 60 miles to Hood River, and then continue east about 20 miles toward The Dalles, you don’t really need any explanation of what amazing scenery refers to. Suffice it to say that in certain types of lighting, at certain spots along the river, you might have a hard time recalling anything more glorious out of anywhere you’ve ever traveled around the world. Last year, Progressive Farmer Magazine placed Hood River County at #10 in their list of the Top 200 Best Places to Live in Rural America. The accompanying article, by Jim Patrico, explains: It’s almost unfair (to those of us who don’t live there) that one place could be so beautiful.

These lucky souls who live in Hood River County, Ore., awake each morning to vistas of snow-capped Mount Hood to the south, stately Mount Adams to the north and the gorgeous Columbia River gorge between. Through the beauty flows the Hood River valley, with its cliffs and crags and improbably round hills formed by volcanic bubbles.

Not to belabor the point, but in the recent book, 1,000 Places to See Before You Die, author Patricia Schultz puts the Columbia gorge and Hood River on the list, in spades. Here’s what Schultz has to say, in part:

The Columbia River’s enormous 80-mile-long gorge through the Cascade Mountains is one of the most dramatic destinations in the Pacific Northwest, so breathtaking that in 1988, Congress designated it the first of America’s National Scenic Areas. The mile-wide river, flanked by volcanic sentinels Mount Hood in Oregon and Mount Adams in Washington, flows beneath banded basalt walls rising 3,000 feet. Waterfalls tumble from the gorge’s edge, cascading hundreds of feet to meet the river. All this beauty — plus excellent hiking trails and world-class windsurfing — is just an hour from Portland.

4. Cool technology

In 2005, Mountain View, Calif.-based Google Inc., the search engine giant, announced it was buying more than 30 acres along the Columbia River at The Dalles to build a mega-computing data center complex. Now up and running, the center was described by the New York Times as being as big as two football fields, with twin cooling plants protruding four stories into the sky.

Somewhere between 50 and 100 new jobs have been created at the plant, which is competing with Microsoft and Yahoo in a multi-billion-dollar face-off that will determine dominance in the online world in the years ahead, according to the Times. Microsoft and Yahoo are building big data centers upstream in Wenatchee and Quincy, Wash., 130 miles to the north, the Times noted.

The article calls The Dalles region the intersection of cheap electricity and readily accessible data networking. While the Google presence has already injected a much-needed economic shot to the region’s economy, for many area residents further west, it is not as incongruous to the scenic, rugged natural area as one might think.

After all, Hood River, Bingen and White Salmon are already home to a cluster of ultra-high-tech Boeing Co. spin-off companies raking in millions of dollars in federal contracts for unmanned aircraft parts and production. The big player in that cluster in Bingen’s Insitu, but there are at least three others sprinkled on both sides of the two-lane toll bridge over the Columbia between Hood River and the Washington towns.

For a rural area, the gorge is well-wired, including having its own Internet service provider, Gorge.net. The dozen or so non-Starbucks espresso shops around the area feature some free Internet-accessible computer terminals and many a laptop-toting latte drinker.

5. Moderate climate

For many people escaping rain-soaked Portland but unwilling to live in the desert conditions of eastern Oregon, Hood River is a sweet spot in the middle: less rainy, sunnier and slightly warmer than Portland, but not blisteringly hot and dry as in The Dalles or further east.

The average rainful in Hood River is 31 inches annually, compared to 37.4 inches in Portland, according to the Oregon Blue Book. The Blue Book lists the average Hood River low temperature as 29 degrees Fahrenheit; the average high temp is 81 degrees. In Portland, the average low is 34 degrees and 80 degrees is the average high temperature.

The touted winds are not often as apparent as one might think, although it’s wise to take them into consideration if you buy a house with an outdoor patio that seems pretty breezy.

6. Plentiful resources

If you’re coming from LA, don’t even think about water shortages or smog anymore. Here, we’re talking plenty of clean air and clear water, either ground water melted off the mountains or from underground springs. Forget about getting diverted water from the Colorado River. Think breathing in lots of refreshing, clean mountain air. San Franciscans will feel at home with the occasional fog over the Columbia, but most locals report an abundance of cloud-free, sunny days especially once you get through the rainy months of December, January and February. Outstanding crispy apples and pears are available often right off the tree, if you have friends with orchards. Hood River is one of the largest pear-growing districts in the world, especially winter pears. By bike or car, a tour called the Fruit Loop will take you past Hood River valley fruit orchards, roadside stands, country markets and wineries. The Hood River County Chamber of Commerce offers information on the Fruit Loop and other ways to see the countryside’s natural riches.

7. Appreciating property values

The national housing market slump in 2007 has resulted in a stronger buyers’ real estate market in Hood River as more homes are listed and more stay on the market for a longer period of time. This gives buyers more room for buyers to negotiate and less pressure to outbid competing potential buyers. According to the multiple listing service data, closed sales decreased 15.5 percent from January to November 2007 over the same period in 2006.

At the same time, sellers can note that housing prices have stayed fairly stable and even increased slightly. The average sale price was $264,4000 in the 12 months ending November 2007. That was a 6.2 percent rise from the $249,000 average price in the previous 12 months. The median sale price for the same 12 months ending November 2007. $225.000, was a 12.5 percent increase from the $200,000 median price of the prior 12 months. Single family home buyers have a wealth of new construction to choose from just outside the Hood River downtown. Alternatively, a number of older Victorian-style homes in the downtown area have been renovated and remodeled and can also offer good investment opportunities.

8. Small town friendliness

Did you ever have to give up on attending a party in downtown San Francisco because you absolutely couldn’t find a parking space? Well, locals in Hood River will tell you they leave for the movies in downtown Hood River about 15 minutes before show time. Once downtown, they are often are able to park within a block of the theater.

Since there are no traffic lights downtown, motorists go out of their way to surrender to pedestrians at intersections. In other words, you won’t ever if at all — need to use your middle finger for that classic big-city traffic statement.

Similarly, clerks in stores generally lack the rudeness gene, and in fact, will often go out of their way to be helpful.

Kids and families are top priority in Hood River, for the new residents as well as long-timers. As many professionals from other locales find they can live here year-round and still maintain their businesses via telecommuting, the schools and child-friendly infrastructure has been developing also. A new branch of the Columbia Gorge Community College is under construction in Hood River. Based in The Dalles, about 20 miles east of Hood River, the community college’s commitment to a new site in Hood River area is a testament to the influx of families and individuals that are discovering the Gorge and making it their home.

9. Upscale amenities

With Portland only about an hour away, concerts, theater, dancing and other celebrations and events in the city are doable, even during the week. In November of this year, the New York Times lauded Portland as having a small-town feel in an urban atmosphere. The newspaper article, which featured a lead photo of Mount Hood, added that the Portland was one of the last affordable housing markets on the West Coast. There is a vibrant restaurant and cultural scene, accessible public transportation light rail, street cars and buses and a population enthusiastic about the outdoors and the environment, the Times said. Even without a trip to Portland, Hood River has its own vibrant entertainment and restaurant scene. First Friday, a monthly art and food event, offers gallery openings, shops, gourmet snacks, music and wine tastings in the downtown hub. First-class lodging is right at the doorstep. This year, for example, the sprawling Columbia Gorge Hotel was ranked #19 in a list of Top 100 Hotels in the U.S. and Canada by Travel and Leisure Magazine.

The historic landmark has twice before been named the Best Romantic Hotel in the Nation, and is considered one of the top 10 spots for weddings in the country. If you drive past the hotel on most weekend days, you can see cars from wedding guests lining the road for a long stretch.

10. Great food

You don’t even have to go to Portland to find fine dining. Restaurants in the Columbia Gorge lean heavily on fresh salads and vegetables, as well as fine wines from abundant local vineyards. Some of them, such as Celilo and The Sixth Street Bistro, emphasize local produce and rely almost exclusively on area farms for their menus. No longer are visitors faced with the food-as-fuel quotient, where a cruddy hamburger or Americanized Chinese food was the only option after a long day of play, writes Ivy Manning in an October 2005 edition of Willamette Week. Chefs here are making the connection between the bounty of local ingredients around them and their sport, ecologically minded clientele.

And, for the basic wonderful all-you-can eat breakfast, you have several to-die-for brunch spots such as Bette’s in downtown Hood River, where overflow groups from two dining rooms spill out into the hallway every weekend.

Welcome to Hood River Oregon. Visit, enjoy and even stay if you like.
All in all, the Columbia Gorge and Hood River are no longer just the pass-through pit stop for people going up on Mount Hood or for those sailing on the river. As all the national newspaper and magazine accolades indicate, the area’s attractions are no longer the Pacific Northwest’s best-kept secret.

MEDIA forte marketing

The View from Here, January, 2008

January 21st, 2008

At the Risk of being wrong, here are my predictions for 2008 and Hood River Oregon Real Estate.

(Caveat-Assumes no explosions of Financial Toxic Waste)

1. Real Estate prices remain the same. Quality products are still finding quality buyers.

2. Less than perfect properties will get hit on value, but still be in line with the rest of the market.

3. The “buy it and flip it” crowd will go away.

4. The Fly by Night Contractor crowd will go away as well.

5. At least ONE of the major land developers (more than 10 lots of inventory) will fail.

6. There will be a slight gap in housing starts, then it will pick up again…..

7. By the end of 2008, we’ll all be strapping on the running shoes trying to keep up again. (With sales volume, not price increases. They will be another year out.)

8. One of the developers in town will go out because of contractor liability, after finding that their houses are not sellable.

9. I’ll have three kids.

10. Copper West is going to grow. Alot.

The View from Here, December 2007

January 21st, 2008

December (more specifically, the last ten days of December)is a rough time for me.

Holidays remind me of my mother, and she passed away this year.

I’m a mix of Gratefulness (Mom’s favorite word) and aspiration. A real product of Hawaii in so many ways. Conflicted, is what many people would call it. A foot in both worlds.

Why do I ramble on? Well, I had a couple of business posts on this Blog earlier this year, so I have to true it up before the clock strikes. Standing with feet in multiple worlds does generate one side effect, and that’s the ability to see many shades of gray, hopefully from a vantage point that allows you to see the approaching weather, with something nearby to hunker under…….

The market in Hood River is no longer ominous. People arrive daily, ready to move in, ready to become a part of the community. All the National Real Estate Websites are pointing out that the new model of Real Estate is a “global” model (It’s a poor word, but it’s not mine) They often confuse “global” with Global, but currently they are talking about it meaning an influx of foreigners with money that’s usually worth 2x ours.(global) I call it getting the short end of the Global stick, but hey, buy local. :)

2008?

Rockin. It’s so full I can’t even approach it. “global” to me means everyone is inbound. They’ve been that way for years, and 2008-2009 (with my usual financial toxic bomb caveat) will be the last time you’ll ever be able to buy in Hood River again. There’s just too much money looking for a safe place.

Call me a Bull or not, but remember I said it early.

The Oracle of Omaha…

January 16th, 2008

About two years ago, Warren Buffet warned against Derivatives by commenting that he thought…(and I’m paraphrasing here) The Derivatives market had become so complex that he didn’t think people trading in it knew exactly what they were buying anymore, and there was a greater than average risk of collapse and fiscal scandal…….

Until last month, I had rarely heard of MBIA and other Bond Insurers….But as we work through the last few days of the fourth quarter, when everyone writes down their losses for 2008…..That “toxic Sludge” everyone’s been talking about may be in the bond insurers court……I’m just guessing here, but a Failure at a place like MBIA would be, at best…..costly.

Hang on to your balance sheets and your FICO Scores (for whatever they are worth, BTW) Although I called it a bottom in Hood River Last week, My caveat might come to fruition……

Values wont drop, but the ability to get credit might just vaporize for a bit…..This will drag on the market here, but there sure is alot of cash sloshing about, and since it can’t go overseas…..well, let’s just say we are seeing alot of it around here.

But my view of the impact will be that some sectors get hit, the one’s where people are exposed and have to sell an asset in a hurry, at a discount. That’s tract housing, and raw land. (the kind where the curbs and gutters are in and it’s been platted)

Ruff. Ruff Ruff…

Credit…Markets…Siezing…Must.Keep.Wheels.On.Economy….

January 16th, 2008

(Says Superman as he fights the market implosion like it was some giant outer space monster….)

Nope, it isn’t, we made this mess, and we are going to have to ride this one out. We, when I say we, I mean, the other We, those like me in Atlanta, Florida, California and the poster children of trouble…Arizona and Nevada.

Sometimes I wonder if my life has become too boring, as we plod along, comfortable, not too hot, not too cool. Then I see the pain being inflicted in other markets, and I say to myself…..”whew” glad that isn’t us. Yet.

I read a comment from the NAR convention where one of the presenters stood up on staged and listed all the people who were the cause of all this pain. He started at number five, predatory lenders, and as he worked his way through bad appraisers, greedy secondary markets, and lax regulators, the applause got louder and louder,

Shouts of “yeah!” were heard from the packed room of Realtors.

And then he got to number one. “REALTORS” and the room fell silent.

That’s the word on the street, anyway.

Remember last month where I pointed out which banks seemed to be holding it together? Wells Fargo and US Bank….Rocking right along, well poised to move forward without major writedowns……so far.

The problem is, illiquidity in credit markets leads to other things, and one of those flanks could prove painful. We just don’t know when it will show up. One thing is for sure, if it continues to spread, and the public calls for faster writedowns of lost assets…..this could go from bad to worse in a couple of days. I’m not sure why anyone would want to take it past the fourth quarter, unless it’s really ugly……

Ok back to Hood River. Things are, well, are….actually quiet, but kind of normal. Still humming along. Had a few casualties here in the last week, and the board looks light…..but the phone is ringing and we still have clients…..how bad can it be?

There’s some hot deals out there right now, that’s for sure. Here’s a couple of good Stats from this month:

1. The Average sale price, Year to date, in Hood River, is $326,000.00. (Down .7% YOY) On the West Side its $434,000.00 (Up 2.7% YOY) and on the East Side, its $647,000.00!(up 16%, but with only two sales YTD)

2. The average Days on Market in Hood River is 76 days with Days on Market on the West Side of 201. Hood River City, 126 units sold YTD, West Side 36. Currently on the Market in Hood River, 100 units. West Side 32 Units.

Anything in there? Surprising strength on the West side. I would have tossed up a caution flag, based upon the inventory out there, but then I realize the inventory out there is exactly what the market wants (Cool Craftsman homes on larger lots) and I’m thinking things might not be so bad out there right now…..(The 201 days is an anomaly, and it’s my fault…one of my longer listings)

The View from Here-October 2007

October 20th, 2007

Good Article this week from Marketwatch about foreclosure markets and their discount rates (It’s a realty-trac rehash, but a pretty good one) Check it out here.

See? Not so bad in Hood River after all…….

Market review shows flat growth in Hood River, and gains in surrounding markets. Same as last month, with slight signs of improvement. No one is in a bidding war, that’s for sure, but there are still Buyer’s out there…..if they can get financing.

This Month’s review showed signs of a bottom until Friday’s Woes. I have, by the way, never EVER been through some of the kookiest requests from underwriters, ever.

They are rejecting appraisals, wondering why we don’t have multiple exact comps in our rural areas, asking for demographic information, and some truly, overly personal information of my clients.

Basically, to me, that means there are alot of very scared people. Imagine being that scared, and having a quarterly sales quota to meet……….Not a job I want to be in. Wait a minute…….

New to the “woes bin” this month, after long avoiding the spotlight is none other than…..WAMU! Oh, and Bank of America! It’s interesting, it appears there has been ALOT of below the radar wrangling going on. I’m not sure the worst of it’s over, especially after the Countrywide Mortgage Inquiry was launched. Please don’t do a loan with Countrywide, they might not be there next month…….

US Bank and Wells Fargo seem to be holding their own, and I did a large loan with them about a year ago, and let me tell you, I NEVER handed in so much information, and that was back in January of 2007! Sounds like they sniffed out the problem and went for quality early on. and US Bank? The usual, highly detailed, Hyper accurate, as always…..They don’t to too much morgtage work, but every Loan I’ve ever done with them has been, how shall I say it….”Fully Vetted”

So another 30 days! we made it! I think everyone can breathe a sigh of relief, even if it is as we go over the falls…..

Just kidding.

Fortune Magazine says Kiteboarding is Cool!

October 9th, 2007

Ok, Fortune Magazine last month deemed Kiteboarding as the “New Golf” for VC types.

With the Majority of our office made up of Kiteboarders, I thought I’d interview a few of the guys and see what they think of their new found “Power-Player” (we used to spell it “playa” but we are supposed to be going legit, “New Golf” remember?)

William Irving the Third
“Really?!” Says Bill (With that long ee sound, Reeeally) “Well, It’s the Golf where you can kill yourself. Wait a minute what are you doing?” *negotiaitons ensue*

“I think it’s a good way to be involved in a community of people that is friendly and helpful”

Even if they are wealthy masters of the universe? “It will open up a greater body of water for the sport, and it’s waaay easier that traveling a windsurfer. It’s like traveling with a Golf Bag, and you get way better Extreme Cred.”

Hunter Lowery

“Is this a Joke?!” *pause while Hunter laughs and lets it sink in*
“….aah, I would say that it’s more attractive to call it “Earth Friendly Golf” Says Hunter. “How much of the Earth is Water? It’s like Golf Courses everywhere! It definitely seems like the golf demographic these days now that the kites won’t kill you….”

So there you have it. Copperwest, Leading the charge again. I would have to say, having taken up the sport this Summer, I’m pretty Hooked. Like, stand around in marginal conditions in my 5/3 Steamer Suit Hooked. That’s clinical.

Residential Highlights Hood River September 2007

September 17th, 2007

Well…The August Numbers are in. Interesting.

August Closings dropped a significant 35.4% compared to last year, with Pending Sales Dropping 11.7%. This rings true, based upon our experience, but what is interesting is that the Average sale price has gone up 8%. The Median price has also risen 14.5%. While I’m certain a bunch of Sellers are going to jump on that number and try to stiffen their positions, the next page over tells another story.

Most of that appreciation is over on the Washington side,(Huge % gains in Glenwood and Lyle, which could also be due to the limited market history there, but…50% gains. wow) with Hood River registering Flat, and the Upper Valley and Cascade Locks registering gains. (As an aside, one of those markets is almost fully made up of High ticket transactions (Uppervalley) while the other, Cascade Locks, almost entirely made up of more affordable properties. The middle class is missing in this discussion almost entirely)

Since Median Sales price has gained over average, there seems to be more of a market at the higher end. Has Hood River been Discovered? Yeah, probably.

Hood River East side went negative in appreciation by over 10%. Overall, that’s only a gain in home values in Hood River County of….ready for this? .8% for the TTM.

I keep telling myself that we are better off than just about any place else in the country, and I’m beginning to feel we are at least at the proverbial “end of the beginning”

The Shoes are dirty, I think we’ve previewed most of the second and Third act, and now it’s a question of magnitude, not complexity. I can’t imagine our deals getting any more complex……….

Buyers Still in control…..As prices drop, we find only intermittent Seller Strength, as multiple buyers suddenly show up to pounce on a deal. I wonder how long that will last?

On the Bright Side…At least their being honest…finally!

September 12th, 2007

From Marketwatch this morning. Hood River is following this trend, and I sense a bit of a bottom…Thankfully….But their points are exactly correct….

WASHINGTON (MarketWatch) — People weren’t buying many houses even when they could get a mortgage. And now that it’s become impossible for some buyers to get a loan, it’s likely sales will fall further.
The recovery in housing seems to be getting further away, not closer, with each month’s grim data.
The latest report from the National Association of Realtors shows that the number of homes going under contract for sale in July plunged by 12% to the lowest level in six years.
And, given that some of those people who signed a sales contract won’t be able to get a mortgage on the terms they can afford, the number of completed sales in August, September and October will probably plunge as well.
Housing now has three strikes against it:
The supply of homes is much, much too high. Builders are cutting back on new construction, but there are still lots of new homes hitting the market. Inventories of existing homes rose to a 16-year high in July, a triumph of hope over experience.
Prices are too high. Sellers haven’t figured out yet that the price their neighbor got last year is meaningless. The bubble in home prices was fed primarily by lax underwriting standards for mortgages. Under the new regime, buyers will be approved for loans that they can repay, which means middle-class incomes will no longer support $700,000 mortgages. If you want to sell your house for that, you’ll have to find a rich person willing to live in your three-bedroom ranch.
Getting a mortgage isn’t easy. The credit crunch on Wall Street means that funding for mortgages has dried up. Dozens of lenders have shuttered their doors and stopped lending to subprime or Alt-A buyers. Adjustable-rate mortgages are more expensive than fixed rates. Many borrowers are turning to government programs.
Eventually, of course, the housing market will settle down. Supply and demand will normalize as prices adjust to the new reality. The credit problems will resolve themselves, as investors turn to more trustworthy counterparties and as stricter lending standards become the rule rather than the exception.
In the meantime, prepare for more horrible news. On Thursday, for instance, the mortgage bankers will report on the number of mortgage defaults and foreclosures…

The View from Here-August 2007

August 27th, 2007

Wow. Yeow.

By now we know the bearish tremors from the spring were correct, but they are not universally so. Quality still abounds, and still commands a premium, Buyers are in firm control otherwise, and a reset is already taking hold.

One to one transcations are where it’s at right now. Everything is selling in all areas of the valley, for the right price.

My last couple of posts give you an overview of the market and where I think it’s going. (See “Sub Prime Creep,” and “Another Cross Post” look for a buying opportunity, and then…..well, that’s what we get paid the big bucks for.

Let’s just say I’m planning on being here for a long time……….

:)