Hood River Real Estate and Columbia Gorge Real Estate

First, we have a nice Facebook page now, find us on the web, or visit Copperwest.com and the feed from FB on the Front page. We like Facebook because we can quickly post new listings, and comments on the web, and it gets broadcast easily. It also pushes to twitter, where you can follow us at copperwestHR.

Things are quieting down; the last of the fall push is getting through. There are still buyers in the marketplace, buy they seem to be doing reconnaissance for early January. Lenders continue to be harsh, and I’m starting to determine that there is some sort of secondary market negotiation going on. It appears that one day a lender will let something through without a comment, and on another, they will call it out. I can tell the items that are getting called out are not related to any sort of government guaranteed program, so I’m left thinking that it’s some sort of other underwriting standard, especially with the appearance of randomness. Take away? MAKE SURE you have a strong lending package before you start looking for a home, and MAKE SURE you are looking at homes that you and your broker feel is a quality home, within the zoning of the area, and that it has at least a reasonable valid reason for being there (often called “properly entitled”)

The tax credit extension was a welcome sight, but it does appear that most of the people who could have taken advantage of the program, actually did. The new program (for current homeowners) that allows up to $6,500 in tax credit for a qualifying transaction will hopefully drive some spring sales…..

Everyone is looking to the Holidays, and getting ready for 2010, however, listing volume jumped a bit as new properties refilled the inventories. Pricing, however, remains soft.

One interesting development I read about this week is the I-banks out of New York have been buying portfolios of loans, and then segmenting them into risk groupings, and selling them off. Sounds a bit like the mortgage pools that caused the problem in the first place, but this seems to be moving the inventory out of the marketplace, which ultimately, is a good thing…..

For this month, I think we’ll take our outlook out of “prices are firming, but not rising” back down a small notch to “prices are slightly declining” although it’s a close call. Mostly seasonal…………

See you next month!

The Market continues to improve, however slightly. Prices have moderated by a bunch! Given the activity in the market, (being so price point oriented) has caused a dip in the average and median home price. I did notice, however, that the look and feel of that correction sort of maps to 2008. Inventory in months was at 14 (high, yes I know) then it went to over 30, then it came back to about 14. Same thing with average price, which is down 13% year over year. Looks like a cleanout to me…
Closings dropped in September, while pendings went up. You could probably call this a marker on the HERA and HVCC issues, as most deals are now between 30-45 days………
So, the long and short of it is that this is looking a lot like 2008, but with an upward bias, not a downward one……..
Inside the market, Average sale price got mauled by the lower price points in both Hood River Westside and City, down 6% and 18% year over year. Additionally a big drop off of pending sales, YTD in the City (off 32%) to the benefit of the Westside (Up 30%)  Again, some of that is sample size, but Downtown has flown higher in the past, and this would probably mark a return to earth on the values.

So that’s that in October. Time to settle in for a loooong haul until next spring. There’s some commercial activity as people look for projects, assuming they have financing, etc.

The Columbia Gorge Hotel has apparently been sold, there’s talk of a couple of new projects, but it’s still lean out there for the trades. Last winter there was lots of talk of a “die-off” of some businesses. We have been in here for so long, that I think there’s still a fair bit of carnage to occur. Hopefully it won’t be us, but there’s still a decent amount of uncertainty out there…….

On the computer front we now have a Face book page, our plan is to post new listings to that page, and updates. The Copper West Facebook page is located here.
Our twitter feed is @CopperwestHR

My Personal FB page is here.
And my Twitter feed is @Mauim

I keep the personal and business accounts quite separate, so you may choose, either neither or both!

And Finally, We are now posting the Monthly Market Reports from the RMLS on our website. They are located in the newsletters section under the about us tab at Copperwest.com

Thanks for Reading! If you like this post, please feel free to digg, tweet or otherwise! I appreciate it! Watch the video too!

Overall, Hood River Real Estate has been pretty good this month. Lots of deal action, but loooower prices.

Last year, in the fall, Sellers attempted to hold onto their prices, and managed to do a pretty good job of it. This year? Different story. Sellers have capitulated, and are selling at some steep discounts. That makes it tough for those left in the market trying to sell, but it makes the Buyers very happy.

Of course, that hangover will be lasting for a long, long time, as appraisals will become tougher with this seasonal dip. I’m certain appraisers can factor in distress sales, but a number of these sales are not distress sales, they are open, free market sales, and that’s going to hurt…..

HERA and HVCC continue to be slightly problematic, but more problematic are the new bankers dealing with mortgage. Now we are returning to the old “bankers” model; you have to prove you don’t need a loan to get a loan…….

Investments are pricing at cashflow again, I’m guessing closer to 8-12%. Thankfully. Lending, however, is all but impossible. These days, its all about owner financing.

Still with all of this, it’s been a good month, and October looks strong and so does November. That leaves only one month after that to get past 2009……….

Long term forecast for the Hood River market will be flat, at best, with pockets of calamity, and a few wipeouts. Mostly, though, people seem to be keeping it together, and most of all, working together to figure things out…..All in all, survivable.

Thanks for reading! see you next month!