Hood River Real Estate and Columbia Gorge Real Estate

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Overall, Hood River Real Estate has been pretty good this month. Lots of deal action, but loooower prices.

Last year, in the fall, Sellers attempted to hold onto their prices, and managed to do a pretty good job of it. This year? Different story. Sellers have capitulated, and are selling at some steep discounts. That makes it tough for those left in the market trying to sell, but it makes the Buyers very happy.

Of course, that hangover will be lasting for a long, long time, as appraisals will become tougher with this seasonal dip. I’m certain appraisers can factor in distress sales, but a number of these sales are not distress sales, they are open, free market sales, and that’s going to hurt…..

HERA and HVCC continue to be slightly problematic, but more problematic are the new bankers dealing with mortgage. Now we are returning to the old “bankers” model; you have to prove you don’t need a loan to get a loan…….

Investments are pricing at cashflow again, I’m guessing closer to 8-12%. Thankfully. Lending, however, is all but impossible. These days, its all about owner financing.

Still with all of this, it’s been a good month, and October looks strong and so does November. That leaves only one month after that to get past 2009……….

Long term forecast for the Hood River market will be flat, at best, with pockets of calamity, and a few wipeouts. Mostly, though, people seem to be keeping it together, and most of all, working together to figure things out…..All in all, survivable.

Thanks for reading! see you next month!

There has been a decent pick up in the sale of Hood River Real Estate. Our local trends are mirroring that apparent feeling that we are bottoming out, the same as the sentiment found elsewhere. That does bring into question, was the Northwest in synch with the rest of the country, but less impacted? or are we lagging the rest of the country? (Some estimates are by two years! Boy, I’d hate it if that were true)

It’s becomming clear to me that we are in synch with the rest of the country, and are experienceing some bottoming, but we are by no means out of this, anytime soon. I’ve been commenting to clients that there are so few markers of where we are at, that I’ve fallen back to intuition. I’ve been trying to determine how I feel about this market, and then map that feeling back to a point in previous cycles I’ve experienced. From my experience, I think we are halfway. We’ve got another long year ahead of us before things start to improve. I’ve always been a fan of the best inventory coming at the front end of a recovery, and the best deals are at the back….so we’ll see.

I’ve been pondering how “value” is measured in the market at the moment as well. I was reminded of a certain client a few years back, who bought a property because of the square footage. The house was quite plain, and so people didn’t buy it because of it’s perceive plain-ness. Over the ensuing couple of years, he managed to solve all of the perceived problems of the house, and was able to extract some great value.

These days, it really appears that “quirkiness” properties that have great attributes, are not being valued correctly. A bunch of years ago I used to write about the “quality penalty” where if your home wasn’t *exactly* right, you were penalized ruthlessly on value. Now, I’m seeing that this cycle is a bit oversold. Really interesting properties with pretty small “quirks” (OK, and some not so small) are practically being ignored. I think there are some values there.

Price reductions have caught fire. You’d figure about August it would really start up, and I think a bunch of people have jumped the gun and are marking down. The markdowns are significant, and I think they will help. They have ripped apart a deal or two though.

Actually closing a deal however, continues to be challenging, but everyone is going to have to change, or go away. It used to be that my number one question from clients was “when will the loan documents be here?” now its “Did I get my Loan?”

The HVCC (Please see my Prior post) has caused some headaches and delays, but it’s not the worst thing in the world. Even the new restrictions on disclosures, the HERA disclosure and cooling off adjustments (Please see that post) are just shifting the structure of deals. I’m pretty happy about that. Managing a transaction for the largest asset you’ll ever (well, most of us, anyway) own, should be handled by people who handle negotiating, networking in real time, counseling skills. people who are expert at communicating across distance in real time. (That usually means having e-mail on your phone, at a minumum) There used to be an old tip in Real Estate, something about looking at a person’s shoes to indicate how much money they have (seriously) These days, there’s a cell phone version of that. If your realtor doesn’t have a phone that accepts e-mails and doesn’t text. Drop ‘em.

That’s it for this month, I’ll try to post more frequently than once a month from here on out……probably a good idea, given the shifting landscape.

Don’t you all love charts. A good roundup of the current indicators. more sentiment, really, which appears to be positive. Ish. How does that impact Hood River Real Estate? Positive mood might get a few people off the fence……..